h2h Corner ~ Back to the Future, Week VII h2h Preview

This column will predict how awesome/bad your team can be during next week’s contest. It will prove invaluable for those of you about to set your lineups in weekly leagues.

However, it will also help daily league owners because some leagues have started with weekly move caps to cut down on the nefarious streaming pitchers strategy. This makes it important to maximize your move allotment on two-start pitchers and key hitters who will have good matchups.

When making roster moves, it is important to focus on the categories you want to win. For 5×5 h2h leagues, you only need to win six categories a week. I focus on runs, HRs and SBs for hitters, so I lean to the rare combination of power and speed. For pitchers, I focus on saves first and foremost – there is safety in quantity. Then I let the early returns from my starters do the talking. If they start off great in ERA/WHIP, I focus on diligently tracking my ratio categories and keeping those down. If they give up a ton of runs and walk a bunch, then I throw all my pitchers into the mix and go for wins and strikeouts. By focusing on these four categories and letting your starters figure out the other two, you can get yourself a handy winning percentage near .600.

You will most likely get the best returns on moves from adding starting pitchers, as they can – hopefully positively – impact wins, Ks, ERA and WHIP. If you are in a weekly league, you need to decide which two-start pitchers you are inserting into your line-up. Here’s a handy, dandy, ranked list:

  1. Felix Hernandez – Seattle Mariners – home against Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim & home against San Francisco
  2. Dan Haren – Arizona Diamondbacks – at Florida & at Oakland
  3. Josh Johnson – Florida Marlins – home against Arizona & home against Tampa Bay (Be careful as he has some shoulder troubles).
  4. Ted Lilly – Chicago Cubs – at St. Louis & at San Diego
  5. Mark Buehrle – Chicago White Sox – home against Minnesota & home against Pittsburgh
  6. Cliff Lee – Cleveland Indians – at Kansas City & at Cincinnati
  7. Chris Young – San Diego Padres – home against San Francisco & home against Chicago Cubs
  8. Randy Wolf – Los Angeles Dodgers – home against New York Mets & home against Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
  9. C.C. Sabathia – New York Yankees – home against Baltimore & home against Philadelphia
  10. Ervin Santana – Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim – at Seattle & at Los Angeles Dodgers
  11. James Shields – Tampa Bay Rays – home against Oakland & at Florida
  12. Andy Pettitte – New York Yankees – home against Minnesota & home against Philadelphia
  13. Jair Jurrjens – Atlanta braves – home against Colorado & home against Toronto
  14. Dave Bush – Milwaukee Brewers – at Houston & at Minnesota
  15. Scott Baker – Minnesota Twins – at Chicago White Sox & home against Milwaukee
  16. Ricky Nolasco – Florida Marlins – home against Arizona & home against Tampa Bay
  17. Kyle Lohse – St. Louis Cardinals – home against Chicago Cubs & home against Kansas City
  18. Joel Pineiro – St. Louis Cardinals – home against Milwaukee & home against Kansas City
  19. Tim Wakefield – Boston Red Sox – home against Toronto & home against New York Mets
  20. Barry Zito – San Francisco Giants – at San Diego & at Seattle

There are some borderline two-start pitchers (Jarrod Washburn, Braden Looper, Shairon Martis, Brian Bannister, Glen Perkins, and Jeff Niemann), but you might want to try to maximize one start from a more serviceable pitcher. Also, if you need to stream pitchers later in the week from a likely available starter, I’d look to:

  1. Randy Johnson – San Francisco Giants – at Seattle Mariners
  2. Koji Uehara – Baltimore Orioles – at Washington Nationals
  3. Manny Parra – Milwaukee Brewers – at Minnesota Twins
  4. Jonathan Sanchez – San Francisco Giants – at San Diego Padres
  5. Rick Porcello – Detroit Tigers – home against Colorado

As I’ve mentioned, leagues are starting to limit the amount of moves you can make on a weekly basis. So, if you are looking to maximize your moves, while boosting your offense, look to the following teams (players).

  • New York Yankees (home for one game against Minnesota and three home games against Baltimore and Philadelphia). Players potentially available: Melky Cabrera, Brett Gardner.
  • Philadelphia Phillies (three games at Cincinnati and three games at New York Yankees). Players potentially available: Pedro Feliz, Matt Stairs, Greg Dobbs.
  • Cincinnati Reds (home for three games against Philadelphia and Cleveland). Players potentially available: Jerry Hairston Jr., Adam Rosales, Chris Dickerson.

The players mentioned above should be available in most 12-team leagues. This is simply an endorsement for an increase in their value for this week – do not make long-term roster plans based solely on this.

However, those are slim pickings, so if you are desperate for some hitting help, try grabbing:

  • Michael Bourn (for Runs/SBs);
  • Todd Helton (for RBIs/AVE/OBP);
  • Nick Johnson (for Runs/RBIs/AVE/OBP);
  • Casey Blake (for RBIs)
  • Kendry Morales (for RBIs/HRs); and
  • Jason Kubel (for RBIs/OBP).

If you have any questions about weekly roster management, feel free to post a comment or DM me on Twitter.

h2h_Corner on Twitter
Join h2h Corner’s FaceBook group
Fantasy Baseball 101 RSS Feed

Advertisements

3 responses to this post.

  1. One minor quibble is that Micah Owings is almost certainly not starting twice after going nearly 6 IP last night.

    Reply

  2. Posted by Albert Lang on May 17, 2009 at 6:29 pm

    Thanks for catching — i didnt realize the Reds reshuffled their rotation a bit. He pitches Wednesday now. Definitely not a 2-starter….and definitely not someone you want over Randy Johnson, Koji, Parrra, Sanchez, or Porcello

    Reply

  3. […] h2h Corner ~ Back to the Future, Week VII h2h Preview Fantasy Baseball 101 – PeopleRank: 1 – May 16, 2009 …Andy Pettitte – New York Yankees – home against Minnesota & home against Philadelphia Jair Jurrjens – Atlanta braves – home against Colorado & home against Toronto Dave Bush – Milwaukee Brewers – at Houston & at Minnesota Scott Baker – Minnesota… Cited people : Adam Rosales  Barry Zito  Braden Looper  Brett Gardner  Brian Bannister  Casey Blake  Chris Dickerson  Chris Young  Cliff Lee  Dan Haren  + vote […]

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: