h2h Corner ~ Katy Perry All-Stars IX

Welcome to the latest installment of the weekly hot and cold fantasy trends update.

I got off to a good start on my run Thursday with a seven minute mile. The first song: Boyfriend, then Hot ‘n’ Cold—the inspiration for this column. This is important for me. I always finish faster than I start, my last mile significantly better than my first.

However, sometimes I—and your team—don’t get off to good starts. That doesn’t mean you should fret though. Rather, you must do your research and guesstimate what will happen in certain categories. For instance, count how many starting pitchers your opponent has left and how many you have left – approximate the strike outs and see if you can catch up in that category. If you can’t, think about adding one or two starters for the week.

Also, don’t get discouraged by a slow start or encouraged by a fast one. Things can change quickly in fantasy. Look at which categories you are close in – try to grab steals or plug in all your HR hitters. It doesn’t count extra to win a category by a significant margin. It’s always better to end well than start well. Oh, and my last mile: 5:55, making it four miles in 26:26 (my fastest time ever).

With that’s said, let’s move on to the things you care about right now, like who’s hot:

Juan Rivera – The Angels have been hurting all over. Rivera has been putting a hurting on the ball recently: five runs, three HRs, eight RBIs, a .357 AVE, and a .400 OBP in the last week. Rivera has always had power and potential – a sexy combination. At the moment he is realizing it – I’d add him and ride the hot streak, while hoping that he’s turned a corner and is not just teasing us.

Gary Sheffield – Sheffield has been a useful payer in spurts this season. Last week, he hit .360 with five runs, five RBIs, and three HRs. Still his BAbip over the last week was .462 – don’t expect the high average to continue.

Cody Ross – It seems like this column has cornered the market on streaky corner outfielders. Ross had a sensational week, blasting two HRs and posting a .375 OBP. It was a surprisingly good week for players with Ross in their names (Ross Gload and David Ross each hit two HRs, while Gabe Gross had five RBIs and two SBs). This particular Ross will be streaky, and he will do you no favors in the ratio categories, but he has 10 HRs, so it appears that last year’s power binge wasn’t a fluke.

Adrian Beltre – At some point Beltre was going to get hot – might that have already started? Last week, he hit .360 with one HR, five RBIs, and two SBs. I think Beltre could have a huge surge later in the year. If you’re an Aramis owner and Beltre is available (he is only 57% owned in Yahoo! Leagues) that’s a viable stand in.

Jose Contreras – Contreras had a strong outing last week, going eight innings, striking out eight, not allowing a run, and posting a 0.50 WHIP. I can’t imagine he’ll pitch all that well at Cincinnati, though AL pitchers have been beating up on NL hitters lately. He is someone to watch as pitchers generally come out of nowhere, but I’m not dropping a good K pitcher for him at the moment.

John Lannan – Lannan only posted six Ks last week, but more than made up for it with a 1.88 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over 14.1 IPs. The tall lefty has been a useful pitcher and could post very Brian Tallet-like numbers, only in the National League. Because of his league, I’d rather have him than Tallet and Contreras.

Brandon Lyon – Something to keep in mind when Fernando Rodney eventually reverts to form: Lyon hasn’t allowed a run since May 26, while pitching nine innings and only giving up two hits and three walks. His season WHIP is a decidedly decent 1.19. For deeper leagues, he might pick up some saves down the road.

THE FLIP SIDE (the supposed good guys who are stinking up the joint)

Time to move on to those cold salamanders that are likely owned in your league, yet have sucked lately.

Justin Verlander – You need to sell pitchers at their apex. I said the same thing for Zack Greinke and Edwin Jackson. While Jackson, Greinke and Verlander will all post good years, they won’t have better stretches than they already have had. If you can find someone to pay for them, you should take the deal. I’d wait for Verlander to make a good start and then move him – his stats won’t be much different from Javy Vazquez’ at the end of the year. Oh yeah, last week he lasted only four innings, posting a 11.25 ERA and 2.50 WHIP.

Edwin Jackson – The 39th ranked pitcher in the Yahoo! game, Jackson had two potentially attractive starts in the last week against St. Louis and the Chicago White Sox. However, he disappointed by posting a 4.09 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP. He did manage 10 Ks in 11 IPs, but, like I said above, I’d be moving Jackson.

Johan Santana – The curious case of Johan Santana. So long has he been the consistent superstar, that slight blips appear to be tidal waves. The worst start in a while for Santana (just three IPs, a 27.00 ERA and a 3.67 WHIP) sent the reactionary press scurrying with theories on why Santana isn’t great anymore. At this point in the season, a 3.29 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 94 Ks are still impressive. If you can buy a little bit low on Santana, I would endorse that.

David Price – In two starts last week, Price wasn’t spectacular, posting a 4.76 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP. Still, he managed to strike out a batter an inning. While the walks are a bit disconcerting, he has 31 Ks this year in just 26 IPs. He’ll struggle at times, but any starter that Ks a batter an inning is worth owning.

Mike Cameron – I’ve been one of Cameron’s bigger supporters this year. And, while his power has been nice (12 HRs), his lack of SBs (just two) is getting alarming. What’s worse is that he has been in a prolonged drought, only managing to hit .115 with two runs and one RBI last week. Cameron has been a sneaky 20-20 player throughout his career, but it’s beginning to look like he won’t make the 20-20 club this season.

Russell Martin – Martin, like Soto earlier in the year, has been a weekly member of the Katy Perry All-stars. Last week he managed one hit, no runs, no RBIs, and posted a .143 OBP. In any deep league, you are likely riding Martin until the point of no return. We aren’t there yet, but I’d rather start no catcher than Martin at this point. Maybe you take a flier on Miguel Olivo for the time being. At this point, you’re stuck with the Canadian. Last week, I did write:

“…I’d be tightening the leash. If you can get $0.75 on the dollar, I’d move Martin and make him someone else’s problem.”

At this point, $0.60 on the dollar would get me to jump.

Adrian Gonzalez – If you’re not in OBP leagues, you have to be a bit concerned about Gonzalez. I love Gonzalez as a player, you all know that. Unfortunately, opposing pitchers love pitching to his teammates much, much more. Gonzalez hasn’t gotten much to hit in the last month. He managed a .211 AVE last week with a .286 OBP. Barring a trade, it doesn’t look like he’ll get much to hit for the rest of the season, though his OBP should be fine. Unfortunately, his runs, HRs, RBIs, and AVE might continue to suffer. Given that he won’t be quite as good as he has been, I might condone moving him for the right price.

All stats are as of June 17.

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One response to this post.

  1. […] This column is all about the recent hot/cold trends and how they can engulf owners. So, naturally Katy Perry popped into my head. This is one of my favorite running songs — I simply run faster while it’s playing. Weird, I know, but I’m fast — I ran four miles in 26:26 last week. […]

    Reply

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