h2h Corner ~ Katy Perry (Hot ‘N’ Cold) All-Stars

Players get hot and cold over a seven-day period, it’s as sure as the samples are small.

That is why Katy created the Hot ‘N’ Cold All-stars.

In case you haven’t heard California Girls, I’ll provide ample links. In case you were living under a rock, I’ll let you know that “Katy Perry is on course to be the big hit of the summer in the US.”

It’s all well and good (especially the song and, well, everything about her), but the summer really only started. Similarly, we are just passed the half way point in fantasy baseball. While it’s great to be atop the standings right now, you have a ton of work to do. Take the All-star break to assess your categorical weaknesses. See which waiver wire darlings can fill those weaknesses and pounce. There is a reason they call late July/August the dog days – it gets hot, bodies break down. This isn’t the time for timidity, but rather bold moves.

So, which waiver wire gems should you be adding to your arsenal? Who should you give a little rope to? Read (below)!

Cause you’re hot…you’re yes…you’re in…you’re up

Andres Torres – Torres seems to get very little love in the fantasy community (owned in just 14% of Yahoo! Leagues), yet he has destroyed the ball of late. Over the last seven days, Torres scored 10 runs, hit three HRs and stole three bases. Sure he is 32 (way past his prime) and hitting in a pitchers park, but he has put up some consistent numbers so far. I think it is time mixed-league owners in 12-team leagues give him a nod, especially if you need runs/steals.

Dexter Fowler – Speaking of runs/steals, did Dexter Fowler come back to the majors in a big way (10 runs and a .478 AVG over the last seven days). Now, all those games are at home (where he performs much better: .297/.406/.459 at home versus .217/.310/.336 on the road). He also tends to bat much better against left-handers than righties. But that really just gives you a blueprint for how to use him. Avoid his road starts and start him against all lefties.

Jayson Nix – According to Nix, “God Blessed Texas.” Over the last seven days (with several starts against the Rangers), Nix hit .321 with five HRs! Still, Nix hasn’t done anything over three major league seasons. He’s a decent speculative add in Al-only leagues, but that’s about it.

DeWayne Wise – Wise, he of the greatest catch in recent memory, is the latest to drink of the Blue Jays magical hitting elixir. Over the last week, Wise hit two HRs, collect nine RBIs and batted .364. This is all in just 11 ABs, meaning he is not a fixture in the Jays’ line-up. Much like Nix, he is really only someone of interest in Al-only leagues. Unless there is an injury, I don’t foresee Wise getting all that many ABs.

Jon Jay – Not the Federalist Papers John Jay, but the former second round draft pick (2006) Jon Jay. In his first taste of the majors this year, Jay has hit .368 over 57 ABs. Over the last week, Jay hit .571 and added two round trippers. He was doing some damage in the minors before being called up (hitting .321 at AAA Memphis) and he does hold a career .301 minor league average. Expect LaRusa to get creative with him as long as he keeps hitting. He makes a definite add in NL-only leagues and someone of interest in 14-team and deeper leagues.

Travis Ishikawa – With Aubrey Huff hitting so well, I’m not sure where Ishikawa will find the playing time, but if he does, his bat could get interesting. Over the last seven days and in 18 ABs, Ishikawa hit .389, and added eight RBIs. If he finds his way to consistent playing time, Ishikawa could hit 10 HRs in the second half. However, until that happens, you can largely ignore him.

Barry Enright – While Enright didn’t exactly light it up over the last seven days, he did strike out five batters in 5.2 IPs. On the season he has 10 Ks in 10.2 IPs, a decent ERA (3.38) and a messy WHIP (1.50). He has a 7.3 K/9 rate in the minors and posted an impressive 5.53 K:W rate in AA this season. He could do a little John Ely impression. Unfortunately, his park is not quite as forgiving as Ely, so I wouldn’t project him to do quite as well. Still, those in NL-only leagues should kick the tires.

Brian Matusz – It’s no secret that I love the Orioles and Brian Matusz. It has been painful to see his ownership slide to 16% in Yahoo! Leagues. Well last week should perk up some owners: eight Ks in seven innings with no runs and a 0.71 WHIP. Sure it was just one start against a hobbled Boston line-up, but I’m a silver lining kind of guy. He has real strike-out potential as he matures.

Ross Ohlendorf – Don’t look now, but over the last seven days, Ohlendorf turned in 14 incredibly useful innings: 13 Ks, 1.29 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. The starts were against Houston and the surprisingly hapless Phillies, but still. People forget that he was a somewhat useful pitcher last year (3.92 ERA and 1.23 WHIP). I’d be checking him out in any deep pitching league (he is only two percent owned). Certainly, I’d grab him in NL-onlys and 14-teamers and deeper.

Bruce Chen – I own Bruce Chen in my Al-only league. He has been surprisingly decent. He pitched 7.1 IPs last week, got a win, and posted a 1.23 ERA and 0.41 WHIP. I don’t foresee that lasting, but in deep leagues, I’d ride the streak.

Then you’re cold…then you’re no…then you’re out…then you’re down

Barry Zito – Things did not go well in Zito’s two-starts over the last seven days: 7.20 ERA, 2.20 WHIP. He did strike-out eight batters in 10 innings, so there’s that. Unfortunately, he is only striking out 6.3 batters per nine innings (a number below his career average) so he isn’t that helpful in Ks. What we are seeing is a bit of luck correction, as his BAbip has risen to .287. He is who he was last year: an ERA near 4.00 and a 1.35 WHIP.

Anibal Sanchez – It was not a got two-start week for Sanchez, as he posted a 8.10 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 10 IPs. I’m going to shrug this off. While he isn’t striking out batters like he usually does (7.4 last year, 8.7 in 2008 and just 6.2 this year), he is walking fewer batters resulting in his best K/BB walk rate (1.82). Furthermore, he’s been a tad unlucky this year (.320 BAbip), so he can improve a bit on his season to date numbers.

Bobby Abreu – Exit Vladimir Guerrero, enter Bobby Abreu looking like an old man. Last week, Abreu managed one hit in 20 ABs. He is currently hitting .047 points below his career average. Still, he is on pace to match the 15-30 HR-SB numbers from last year. In addition, he has a career .344 BAbip, yet is only hitting .298 on balls in play in 2010. I expect Abreu to rebound in the second half.

Justin Upton – There will be weeks like this (.148 AVG) when a hitter is on pace for over 200 Ks. Still, he is also on pace for a 30-20 season. He clearly isn’t going to duplicate his 2009 season from a batting average standpoint but he should out-homer and steal his 2009 self.

Rajai Davis – Davis got six at bats last week. Oakland has never really liked him. Baring a trade or injury he has very little value going forward. He is pretty much droppable in all leagues.

All stats as of non – July 9, 2010.

FB101’s 411: Be sure you know how to judge a hot streak. Torres, Fowlers, Matusz, and Ohlendorf make good adds. Keep your eye on Nix, Jay, Ishikawa, and Enright. You are allowed to give up on Rajai Davis.

h2h_Corner on Twitter

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7 responses to this post.

  1. Posted by Quintero on July 11, 2010 at 8:25 am

    New to the site. Site is cool, especially the art design, and you overall suggestions are helpful. I know you guys don’t do this just as another fantasy site, so there are some pop culture references mixing in, but sometime less is more, because a long intro might just throw people off from the beginning…
    Nonetheless, this site is very legit, especially the strategy part which is golden. Best luck going forward!

    Reply

  2. Posted by Albert Lang on July 12, 2010 at 3:24 pm

    thanks for reading and commenting!

    we appreciate all the feedback. if there is anything specific you are looking for in terms of fantasy baseball analysis or columns, let us know and we’ll produce it!

    Reply

  3. Who would rather…
    …have on your pitching staff for the remainder of the season?

    Barry Zito, Mark Buehrle, Jake Peavy, Edinson Volquez, Travis Wood, Ben Sheets, or Randy Wolf?

    Reply

  4. Posted by Albert Lang on July 13, 2010 at 12:47 pm

    First, sorry for your and all Yankees’ fans loss today.

    Second…yuck…

    Peavy is out, Volquez is likely not going to pitch enough innings. I worry about Travis Wood’s rotation spot.

    So between Zito, Buehrle, Wolf and Sheets.

    I’d probably roll the dice with Ben Sheets, then look at Ztio, then Wolf than Buehrle. The last three are pretty close. I’m surprised I favor Sheets as much as i do.

    Reply

  5. I have Zito on my current roster. Would you drop Zito to pick up Sheets?

    Reply

  6. Posted by Albert Lang on July 13, 2010 at 3:11 pm

    Zito will likely get more wins. It’s really a toss up. I’d rather have Sheets, but Zito has some perceived trade value that i’d explore first.

    Reply

  7. […] Enright – What do I need to do to get people to give Barry Enright a run? Over the last seven days, he went eight innings, struck out […]

    Reply

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