h2h Corner ~ Knowing ADP – How To Win Your League Before the Season Even Starts: Daric Barton

Daric Barton – Current ADP 334 – My rank: 142nd hitter –

Maybe I play in too many OBP leagues and it colors my mind into shades of green and yellow, but I seem to be one of the few people who like Daric Barton (who owns a career .369 OBP) in standard 5×5 leagues.

While power gets the girls and glory, there seems to be a crop of first basemen who are helping in the other categories while eschewing power. Most notably, Billy Butler fits this mold, but so do Gaby Sanchez and, to a lesser extent, James Loney.

While he barely touched double digit HRs last season, Barton did score 79 runs and knocked-in 57 for a miserably unproductive A’s offense. In addition, he posted a decent .273 AVG and a sublime .393 OBP.

Given his patience at the plate, he’ll continue to log at bats near the top of the line-up and should score his fair share of runs – at least 85. Meanwhile he has the upside to hit 15 HRs and knock in 70+ – while unspectacular, it’ll play in some deeper leagues.

Certainly if someone like James Loney is being selected about 100 spots ahead (he’s the 226th player), people should kick the tires on Barton. I imagine their power numbers will be identical – Loney will likely best him in average slightly and put up a smidge more RBIs – but Barton should outpace him by a decent margin in runs.

Basically, if you think James Loney can you help you, just wait 100 picks or so and grab Barton. For what it’s worth, Barton is a full 16 months younger than Loney.

This recommendation is more for AL-only leagues, those with OBP, or leagues that require corner infielders. While I think Barton is about correctly priced, there is simply no reason for a 100+ pick gulf between him and Loney.

Feel free to share your insights below or at my Twitter (@h2h_corner).

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Maximizing every drop of value in every pick is hugely important. Taking a player in the fifth round that you could just as easily have taken in the sixth round is a major mistake. To avoid this, you need to know all about Average Draft Position (ADP).

While no two drafts are identical, knowing where a player typically goes gives you a general idea of where he will go in your draft. That said, be sure to do homework on your league mates subjective tendencies. For example, if there are Red Sox fans, be sure to snag guys like Lester and Youkilis a bit earlier than you normally would. In addition, you should talk up your sleepers before the draft (discreetly of course) to see if anyone is on to them. If you don’t, an opponent with an itchy trigger finger who hasn’t done his ADP homework might snag one of your sleepers a round before anyone else is typically taking him.

Now that you know WHY ADP is important, I want to show you HOW to exploit it by highlighting those players who are going too low compared to players with similar ADPs. You can grab an ADP report at Mock Draft Central.

Feel free to share your insights below or at my Twitter (@h2h_corner).

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