h2h Corner ~ You’re Killing me Smalls: Ryan Ludwick

Ryan Ludwick: average draft position 61 in NL-only

5×5 rank: 267

Ownership: 5%

12/60, 10 runs, 2 HRs, 8 RBIs, 1 SB

The five percent-owned Ryan Ludwick isn’t really killing many owners.

The real question is whether he can help owners in any league, because that .200 average he is toting around makes the counting numbers worthless.

In a relatively full season, Ludwick has never batted below .251 (which he did last year at age 32). He has also never had a BABip lower than .297. This year he owns a .238 average on balls in play because he is hitting the ball in the air a ton – almost 2/3s of the time.

His line drive rate is almost 6 percentage points lower than his career average – and his ground ball rate is almost 12 points lower. He isn’t striking out anymore or making less contact, just hitting the ball in the air.

Is that a bad thing? I don’t think so necessarily. While you might be giving up 10 points or so in average, with Ludwick likely hitting in the .245-.255 range instead of the .250-.260 range, you’re probably gaining a few HRs.

I really think Ludwick will push 20 bombs and could provide a handful of steals – as that is the only nefarious way the Padres can score.

Right now he is also walking more than he has ever before. I don’t think it will continue because he’s never really shown this skill and his swing percentage is not even a point lower than his career average.

Still, it’s not an altogether unfriendly sign. Pencil me in for an optimistic Ludwick projection: .253/.330/.440 with 20 HRs.

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2 responses to this post.

  1. […] Ludwick – People should know that I like Ryan Ludwick by now. People should also know that Ludwick went 8/25 with a homerun over the last seven days. […]

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  2. […] Ludwick – If only someone had tipped off the fantasy community weeks ago about Ryan Ludwick – if only…Over the last seven days, Ludwick, in going 11/25 with three bombs, reminded everyone of his […]

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