The Elvis Andrus Rule for @TheFantasyFix

For some time, I’ve been bizarrely intrigued by Elvis Andrus. Once, he appeared to be the next Jose Reyes, a 100+ run, 40+ steal, fantasy behemoth. While he has been a sturdy fantasy performer, he has often put together great first halves that were never a prelude to greatness. For whatever reason, people seem unaware that Andrus does a Jekyll and Hyde routine in the first and second halves of the season:

Split

G

PA

R

H

2B

3B

SB

CS

BA

OBP

TB

1st Half

328

1413

201

347

46

15

81

20

.279

.347

444

2nd Half

276

1192

142

285

44

10

42

23

.270

.337

370

Andrus has been caught stealing more times in the second half despite 36 less attempts—both the lack of attempts and success are disconcerting. With pretty close on base rates, the logical conclusion is that the rigors of a season wear Andrus down.

For the full post, see: http://www.thefantasyfix.com/2013/04/the-elvis-andrus-rule/

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