The Hot N Cold Fantasy Baseball All-stars for Fantasy Pros 911, includes Will Middlebrooks, Allen Craig, Kyle Seager, Chris Johnson, Carlos Ruiz, Pedro Alvarez, Gordon Beckham, Jed Lowrie, Brandon Snyder, Jarrod Dyson, Wilson Betemit, Alberto Callaspo, Andy Dirks, Carlos Zambrano, Jeff Samardzija, Jerome Williams, Joe Blanton, Jake Arrieta, Felipe Paulino, Rick Porcello, Matt Harison, Matt Moore, Rickie Weeks, Joe Mauer, Eric Hosmer, Brandon Phillips, Mike Aviles, Ben Zobrist and much more: http://fp911.com/the-hot-n-cold-fantasy-baseball-all-stars-5/.
Posts Tagged ‘chris johnson’
Players get hot and cold over a seven-day period, it’s as sure as the samples are small.
That is why Katy created the Hot ‘N’ Cold All-stars.
Katy Perry has also wondrously semi-debauched Sesame Street with a slightly cleaned up version of Hot N Cold. That is all.
Mike Aviles – Aviles is available in a lot of leagues. Aviles hit .462 over the last seven days and added three HRs. It appears the Royals will give Aviles the playing time he deserves. Ipso facto, Aviles should be rostered.
Danny Valencia – Valencia has been on absolute fire as of late (.391 AVG, three HRs and seven RBIs over the last seven days). However, I wouldn’t bank on him continuing power stroke. He slugged only .469 in the minors and just .373 in AAA this season. In deep leagues, I’d be interested, but he doesn’t profile as someone who can help 10- and 12-teamers.
Jose Guillen – Katy only included Jose Guillen because he has the propensity to absolutely go off and be one of the best hitters in baseball. There is an inkling that this might occur. Over the last seven days, Guillen went 7/14 and added two round trippers and eight RBIs. If he hits one more HR, I’d think of adding him for the h2h play-offs. It’s hard to catch lightening in a bottle this late, but Guillen could definitely be that spark.
Dan Johnson – Johnson hit three HRs over the last seven days. He has hit eight total since 2008. He did hit 18 bombs in 2007. However, the first base/DH position is pretty cloudy for the Rays. Carlos Pena, Brad Hawpe and Matt Joyce all need at bats and are left-handed. Unless there is an injury that frees up ABs, Johnson won’t have a ton of value.
Chris Johnson – If you listened to me on the radio Monday night, you would have heard me say I think Chris Johnson is in for a big week. So far, he has already had a good last seven days (.364 AVG, two HRs and five RBIs). I don’t think Johnson will replicate this season next year, but for the next 10 days, I wouldn’t mind riding his hot streak.
Carlos Gomez – True story, I traded Ian Desmond for Carlos Gomez in an NL-only league. That team is now in first and I am in second. It’s depressing. Well, Gomez has actually looked good of late (.350 AVG and three steals over the last seven days). As long as Gomez is playing, he has a chance to get on base, which means he’ll try to steal. If you need to solidify that category, he is a very available option.
Bud Norris – Another radio star Joel Henard and I discussed Monday. I don’t understand how Norris is only owned in 12 percent of leagues. Over the last seven days, he has two wins, 13 strike-outs, a 1.93 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. He also plays for the Astros – what more do you want? Add him!
Jake Westbrook – Katy is absolutely shocked at Westbrook’s ownership levels. In his last start, he went eight shut-out innings with a 1.12 WHIP. Sure, he doesn’t strike out a ton of batters but he has a 3.26 ERA and 1.24 WHIP since joining the Cardinals. I wish I owned him.
Jhoulys Chacin – Here is a guy I don’t wish I own because I don’t have to because I own him (worst sentence construction ever?). In his last start, Chacin went eight shut-out innings and posted a 1.12 WHIP (somewhat identical to Westbrook’s last outing). Chacin has all the makings of a star and has been phenomenal this year (8.83 K/9, 3.30 ERA and 3.47 FIP). Please add him, he deserves it.
Mat Latos – One of the reasons my NL-only team is in second place – the struggles of Mat Latos. Over the last seven days, he managed to pitch just 1.1 IPs, yet he gave up eight runs on nine hits. He remains a good pitcher, but he hasn’t really tested his arm this much in terms of pitches and innings. If I’m close in ERA, I might be careful in how I use Latos in his next one or two outings. He should get the Dodgers in his next start, a team he has dominated this year.
John Danks – On April 30, Danks had three wins, a 1.55 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 rate, and 8.1 K/9 rate. At that time, I suggested people try to trade him. While he wasn’t entirely brutal over the last week (13.1 IPs, seven Ks, a 7.43 ERA and 1.35 WHIP), his 2010 K-rate has come down to 6.83 (just like last year), the walk rate has gone up to 2.94 and he has a 3.80 ERA and 3.71 FIP. I like Danks, but he was never the stud the beginning of the season made him look like. He remains an upper echelon match-ups play going forward.
Gio Gonzalez – In the same column I referenced above, I also suggested folks trade Gio Gonzalez. Like Danks, he too has had a tough seven days (eight IPs, eight Ks, a 7.88 ERA and a 2.25 WHIP). All of that is the result of one poor outing against Kansas City (seven runs in two IPs). I like Gonzalez a lot, even though he has benefited from a reduced HR/9 rate. He is a pitcher I am confident posting an ERA from 3.70 – 4.00 with a sterling K-rate (say 8.00 – 9.00).
Brandon Phillips – Joel and I talked about the brutality of Phillips recent stretch on Monday. It’s been bad (2/25 over the last seven days). What I had forgotten about was the bruised right hand he suffered about a month ago. At this point, you can’t wait for Phillips to come out of his funk; you should drop him and grab a player like Eric Young.
Elvis Andrus – Andrus has been borderline useless over the last seven days (.179 AVG and four runs). What’s worse is that he has been crashing back to earth after a hot start to the season. Sure, he has improved his OBP by about .020 points, but his slugging percentage is .305. That, my friends, is Wily Tavares-esque. What’s worse is he is only 30/44 in steal attempts. I still believe in Andrus for next year. He is only 21. However, for the rest of this season, Mike Aviles might be a better option right now.
All stats as of noon September 21, 2010
FB101’s 411: Be sure you know how to judge a hot streak. Aviles Chris Johnson, Chacin, Norris, and Westbrook make good adds. Keep your eye on Guillen, Gomez, and Valencia. You are allowed to sort of give up on Elvis Andrus and Brandon Phillips.
Players get hot and cold over a seven-day period, it’s as sure as the samples are small.
That is why Katy created the Hot ‘N’ Cold All-stars.
In case you were unaware, “Trash chic, which should really be a faux pas, is the here and now fashion trend in the music industry.” Whether it be Lady Gaga, Ke$ha, Rihanna, or are very own Katy Perry, every poprock goddess is putting on the new faux garbs. At least, Katy has been able to “bring more of the “chic” out in her “trash chic” image.”
I think we can all agree that the above paragraph is the perfect lead-in to the Katy Perry All-stars (not because of all the hot links). Quite simply, you need to be able to dissect fantasy fads – which surges are signs of trends that will stay long term and which aren’t. Luckily, I’ll give a handy dandy score sheet below.
Ian Desmond – With Christian Guzman being shipped halfway across the country, Ian Desmond immediately got an uptick in playing time. This comes at the right time as his bat has been doing a lot of talking lately (.435 AVG, one HR and one SB). At the moment, he is a huge add for deep leagues and NL-only. He won’t hit for a good average, but can provide power and speed from the middle infield. Mixed leaguers should have him on their radar.
Jason Michaels – Michaels only got nine ABs last week, but he did some damage (.444 AVG and two HRs). He hit both dingers off of lefties, and he has always been a southpaw killer. He could be a Matt Diaz-lite, something that is valuable in NL-only leagues.
Chris Johnson – Speaking of the Astros, Johnson is someone who should have drawn a lot more interest in fantasy baseball circles (not just fantasy football). Heck I’ve been writing about him since July. Last week, the youngster hit .455 and added a HR. He is hitting for average so far this season and providing some decent pop. He’s definitely someone I’d like to have down the stretch in 14-teamers and deeper.
Matt Joyce – It’s been a rocky ride for Joyce since he was shipped to Tampa for Edwin Jackson. He is finally healthy and in the majors. Over the last seven days he has shown his ability to smack the ball (two HRs and eight RBIs). He should continue to put up nice power numbers down the stretch. He’ll likely sit against lefties, but that isn’t necessarily a bad thing.
Nyjer Morgan – I was at the Stephen Strasburg infamous start game last week. The second thing I noticed at the game (after Miguel Bautista warming up) was Morgan’s willingness to steal some bags and wreck havoc on the base paths. In fact, he is hitting .320 over this last seven days with four SBs. He took down a lot of bases in the second half last year. If you need speed, I’d be scooping him up in hopes of a 2009 second half redux.
Alex Gordon – Alex Gordon has three HRs on the year, but two of those came over the last seven days, during which he hit .273. Gordon has been too successful in the minors to completely write off his recent surge. I don’t fully believe in his recent success, but on the off chance that he is Adam Lind-ing us, I’d be adding if I needed power numbers. I wouldn’t drop anything special, but, occasionally, people do win the lottery.
Josh Tomlin – Tomlin strikes me a lot like John Ely. Unfortunately for Tomlin, he pitches in the big boys league and doesn’t have a ton of spacious NL West parks to pitch in. From what I’ve gathered, Tomlin profiles as a fourth starter at best, yet he has looked like an ace over the last seven days (12.1 IPs, seven Ks, 1.46 ERA and 0.73 WHIP). If you’re in a pitching starved league, it doesn’t hurt to grab him, but be careful when you deploy him.
Daniel Hudson – I love it when pitchers switch from the AL to the NL (see Vazquez, Javier, circa 2009). While Hudson’s home ballpark isn’t overly generous, getting to face the opposing pitcher a couple of times sure must be nice. In his first start in the NL, Hudson went eight innings, struck out four and posted a 0.50 WHIP. I’d be grabbing him if I needed a decent SP.
Bud Norris – I liked Bud Norris in the preseason, but, unless he was facing the Cardinals, it hasn’t been a good year for him. However, he did have a good last seven days (six IPs, seven Ks, no runs, 1.17 WHIP) and a decent last 24 IPs (20 Ks, 4.81 ERA and 1.36 WHIP). I see him as a lot like Gio Gonzalez in 2009. You need to be careful when you use him, but, at the very least, you are guaranteed 5+ Ks. That is a very important commodity to have in h2h leagues.
Fausto Carmona – While Carmona has been good this year, I’ve been hesitant to buy into it. His last seven days (two starts) were pretty detrimental to fantasy owners (9.2 IPs, six Ks, 7.45 ERA and 2.07 WHIP). However, that statement is a bit misguiding as he was brutal in a start against the Yankees (2.2 IPs, seven runs) and great against Boston. Every pitcher has a bad outing. So, should we brush this off? Not necessarily, his BAbip on the year is a tad low (.284), he has a much lower HR/FB% (6.3) than he typically does, and his xFIP is 4.53. I don’t think he’ll fall off the cliff over the balance of the year, but I do believe his numbers will regress a tad. This just means you have to watch his match-ups a little closer than you have been.
Johan Santana – It’s odd that Ervin has almost had a better year than Johan. He certainly had a better week, as Johan went 12.2 IPs and posted a 7.82/1.97 ERA/WHIP. He did strike-out 13, which is pretty nice. While he had a bad BAbip in those two starts (.444), Johan is who he is at this point. He wont be the Johan of old unless he brings his K/9 up to near eight (currently it is only 6.1). Still, he’ll provide useful ratios.
Jonathan Niese – It was a bad week for two-start Mets pitchers, as Niese went 10.1 IPs, and posted a 6.10 ERA and 1.84 WHIP. What’s worse is that he collected only three Ks. However, that was mostly a product of a disaster start against the Diamondbacks (4.1 IPs, six runs). Niese isn’t as good as his ERA indicates, but can be a serviceable pitcher with a low- to mid-4.00 ERA down the stretch.
Josh Johnson – I hope last week reminded everyone of what Ubaldo Jimenez’s consecutive poor outings meant: pitching performances are incredibly inconsistent. Last week, Johnson went 12.2 IPs, struck-out 10, but posted a 5.68/1.74 ERA/WHIP. Certainly, people were expecting more out of a two-start Johnson week. Still, it was just two-starts; expect him to be back and good (though not sub-2.00 good) in his next outing.
Brennan Boesch – I hope you listened to me and traded Boesch. If not, you were treated to a very poor week (2/25) and an even worse month (.161 AVG). At this point, I’m dropping him in 10-team leagues and benching him in all others. He isn’t this bad, but you don’t have time to wait for him to make some corrections.
Adam Lind – I’m finally ready to give up on Lind. While he has been decent over the last month or so .267 AVG and five HRs, his last week was disastrous (.158 AVG. You simply can’t count on him in h2h leagues. If there are decent OF options out there, I wouldn’t think twice about dropping Lind.
Alex Rodriguez – Everyone says AROD is pressing to get to number 600. Maybe he is. He does seem like the type to let something like that bother him. However, you’d think he’d be hitting a little. Over the last seven days, AROD has just three hits and a .115 AVG. He is what he is at this point, a pretty streaky, somewhat old player. Recently, I suggested he might be a third rounder next year. I think I’m right. He is only the 73rd ranked player. He is on pace for 83 runs, 27 HRs, and 136 RBIs. Sure the RBIs are nice, but he only has two SBs (and no signs that he wants to steal double digits like he has done every year since 2002). He also has the worst AVG/OBP/SLG of his career. Some of that is due to a low BAbip (.280 in 2010 versus a .319 career mark), but some of it is old age. I’d be scared of AROD in early rounds next year.
Julio Borbon – Borbon hasn’t been awful this season (.271 AVG), but he only has nine SBs. For someone with no power, he needs to have a lot more SBs to make himself useful. He didn’t hit well over the last seven days (.231), and he has only stolen once over the last month. If you haven’t already, it is time to cut Borbon.
All stats as of noon August 3, 2010.
FB101’s 411: Be sure you know how to judge a hot streak. Desmond, Johnson, Morgan, and Hudson make good adds. Keep your eye on Gordon, Norris, Tomlin and Joyue. You are allowed to sort of give up on Julio Borbon, Brennan Boesch, and Adam Lind.