Posts Tagged ‘scott sizemore’

2012 Fantasy Baseball head-to-head Third Basemen Preview for FantasyPros911

2012 Fantasy Baseball head-to-head Third Basemen Preview for FantasyPros911: http://fp911.com/2012-fantasy-baseball-3b-preview-h2h/, including in-depth analysis of David Wright, Michael Young, Aramis Ramirez, Pablo Sandoval, Brett Lawrie, Daniel Murphy, Ian Stewart, Scott Sizemore and others!

h2h Corner ~ Katy Perry (Hot ‘N’ Cold Fantasy Baseball) All-Stars

Players get hot and cold over a seven-day period, it’s as sure as the samples are small.

That is why Katy created the Hot ‘N’ Cold All-stars.

Cause you’re hot…you’re yes…you’re in…you’re up

Jason Bay – Well, for a week at least, Jason Bay earned his contact with the Mets by going 10/27 with three homers and a steal. Bay now has 18 HRs for the Mets over the last two years – 1/6 came over the last seven days. I was hoping this was part of a longer trend with Bay, but he’s been hovering between.230s and the low .240s in average since early May really. The 12 HR, 11 SB campaign isn’t actually all that bad, but the atrocious average makes him less useful than someone like Will Venable. Bay has hit a gargantuan amount of ground balls this year (at the expensive of fly balls, which isn’t a horrible trade off given his home ball park). Unless he can turn some of those ground balls into well struck batted balls, his BABIP and average will continue to be only useful in NL-only leagues. I don’t know if he’s lost bat speed, but he is suddenly getting eaten alive by fast balls, a pitch he dominated in his heyday. Oh well, the week was nice.

Jon JayI kind of hate but kind of like Jon Jay. I like him because I’m a fan of the Federalist Papers, I dislike him because I get into a lot of e-arguments about his merits versus Colby Rasmus. Well Jay, the ballplayer, has been great lately, going 11/18 with two homers over the last seven days and has five straight multi-hit games. Jay’s .354 BABIP is eerily similar to last season’s .350 and he appears to be hitting the ball a tad sounder this season – his line drive rate is up. He doesn’t swing and miss a lot, so he’ll put a ton of balls in play. He seems like a decent average source going forward with light power/steals – someone like Placido Polanco.

Brent Morel – Watch out for the Morel morsel! Or something like that. Morel was filthy over the last seven days: 9/25 with three bombs. Of course, he now has five homers on the year. He is by no means an option in anything outside of AL-only leagues. This time of year it makes sense to grab the hot hand, but Morel will never do anything like this last seven day stretch.

Marco Scutaro – As someone who was high on Jed Lowrie in the preseason and most of the year (with the omnipresent injury caveat everywhere), I’ve been slow to hop on the Scutaro bandwagon. After he went 12/20 with 11 RBIs over his last seven days, I can ignore him no longer, especially when shortstop is the worst position ever.  Leading up to the play-offs, I imagine Francona is going to try to ride the hot streaks of his marginal players. So, as long as he hits, Scutaro will play. He probably won’t get 11 more RBIs all year, but he’ll post a user-friendly batting average and maybe a homer or two while scoring some runs. In short, he’ll be serviceable. Not a ringing endorsement, but he could be a good Jeter/Rollins (or insert other shortstop) fill-in as it appears they might get some rest down the stretch.

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h2h Corner ~ Katy Perry (Hot ‘N’ Cold Fantasy Baseball) All-Stars

Players get hot and cold over a seven-day period, it’s as sure as the samples are small.

That is why Katy created the Hot ‘N’ Cold All-stars.

‘Cause you’re hot…you’re yes…you’re in…you’re up

Danny Valencia – I don’t really like oranges, but for some reason a Valencia Orange just sounds good. Or maybe it’s because Valencia is in Spain, perhaps my favorite country to visit (and one I’ll be going to in 8 days!). Anyway, I really want to like Danny Valencia (and seven-day stretches like his most recent (13/27 with two homers) make it easier), but I have to offer a word of caution. On the year, his HR/FB rate and gross HR numbers have improved in relatively the same amount of at bats as last year. Of course, the average is nowhere near 2010 levels.  His .345 BABIP in 2009 was clearly not repeatable, but is he a .261 guy on balls in play? I can’t imagine it’s that bad especially given little change in his LD rate. Still, Valencia is not much more than a .260 hitter ROTW with maybe eight HRs. I get how bad 3b is, but Valencia could hurt more than help.

Mark Ellis – I really like ballplayers with the last name Ellis (see AJ love here, and Mark love here, here, here, etc.). Mark has never been healthy, but the move to Colorado is interesting as it puts him in a favorable ballpark and league. Last week, he torched the ball, going 11/28 with two homers and a steal. I think his average will be better (he is a career .266 hitter) and he is good for at least 5 more homers and steals with upside to maybe 8-10 of each. He’s a neat play, especially in NL-only, but the batting average will likely not be helpful. Continue reading

h2h Corner ~ Katy Perry (Hot ‘N’ Cold Fantasy Baseball) All-Stars

Players get hot and cold over a seven-day period, it’s as sure as the samples are small.

That is why Katy created the Hot ‘N’ Cold All-stars.

‘Cause you’re hot…you’re yes…you’re in…you’re up

Jordan Schafer – 2009 must seem like a long time ago for Schafer (incidentally a piss-cheap beer one can buy on their way to casinos in Connecticut). In ’09, he started off with a bang before ending up .204/.313/.287 and then there was the suspension. With Nate McLouth being his typical injured/crappy self, Schafer has gotten some run and, well, run with it: 11/31 with eight runs and four steals over the last seven days. He’s at .256/.330/.341 for the season, which is actually better than what he was doing at AAA. He already has seven steals (albeit in 10 attempts) so he should be owned in most deep leagues. However, I find it hard to believe he’ll continue to post an 88% contact rate and miniscule swinging strike percentage. At a certain point, he’ll stop getting on base and then stop stealing. Ride while he’s hot, drop when he’s not.

Scott Sizemore – I’ve always like Grady and Tom, which, by the transitive property, makes me intrigued by Scott. Over the last seven days (8/19) Scott is making Billy Beane look like the guy featured in Moneyball, not this 1987 Topps card. Sizemore, just 26, has absolutely lit up AAA pitching throughout his career. However, his major league numbers .243/.327/.335 leave a bit to be desired. The OBP for a middle infielder isn’t bad, but it has come with no power and no speed. Right now his BABIP (.365) seems a lad high for a guy with a 17.5% line drive rate, so I can’t imagine him continuing to put up a .276/.376 line. The extra base hits haven’t been there (.333 Slugging percentage), so his upside is minimal. He’s a deep leaguer, don’t be fooled by his hot start with the A’s.

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h2h Corner ~ Knowing ADP – How To Win Your League Before the Season Even Starts III

Maximizing every drop of value in every pick is hugely important. Taking a player in the fifth round that you could just as easily have taken in the sixth round is a major mistake. To avoid this, you need to know all about Average Draft Position (ADP). Continue reading

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