Posts Tagged ‘smalls’

h2h Corner ~ You’re Killing me Smalls: Hanley Ramirez

In 2010, Hanley Ramirez hit 21 HRs, stole 32 bases and posted a .300/.378/.475 slash line. In March/April of last year, he hit just two HRs and posted a .279/.386/.395 line.

Clearly the sky was falling. Well, if that were the case, the whole universe must be falling in 2011, as Hanley is off to a .211/.317/.268 start. Continue reading

h2h Corner ~ Don’t Look Back: J.R. Towles

“Don’t look back in anger, I heard you say”

From 2008 – 2010, J.R. Towles put up a .158/.247/.286 line with seven HRs in 275 plate appearances. Of course, he was a massive sleeper going into 2008 based on 44 plate appearances in 2007, during which he went .375/.432/.575.

That’s not exactly fair, as Towles had built a pretty good minor league resume, posting good averages and great on base percentages. Continue reading

h2h Corner ~ You’re Killing me Smalls: Yovani Gallardo

Yovani Gallardo: Average Draft Position 64

5×5 Rank: 734

Ownership: 97%

31.1 IPs, 2 wins, 20 Ks, 4.88 ERA, 1.40 WHIP

Things, seemingly, started beautifully for Gallardo in 2011. After his first two starts, he had pitched 15 innings, allowed two runs and allowed just 14 base runners. Unfortunately, he only tallied six Ks and has posted a 5.74 K/9 rate this year. This ratio has been 9.73+ over the last two seasons. Continue reading

h2h Corner ~ You’re Killing me Smalls: Ryan Ludwick

Ryan Ludwick: average draft position 61 in NL-only

5×5 rank: 267

Ownership: 5%

12/60, 10 runs, 2 HRs, 8 RBIs, 1 SB

The five percent-owned Ryan Ludwick isn’t really killing many owners.

The real question is whether he can help owners in any league, because that .200 average he is toting around makes the counting numbers worthless. Continue reading

h2h Corner~ You’re Killing Me Smalls: Ben Zobrist

Ben Zobrist, average draft position: 116.

5×5 rank 175

Ownership 87%

12/60, 10 runs, four HRs, seven RBIs, two SB.

I have never been Zobrist’s biggest fan. However, I did see value in him in walk and OBP leagues. For a middle infielder, a .350 OBP is nothing to laugh it. He also posted that sublime .405 OBP in 2009.

Continue reading

h2h Corner~ You’re Killing Me Smalls: Chone Figgins

Chone Figgins, average draft position: 101.

5×5 rank: 916

Ownership 65%

9/60, four runs, one HR, three RBIs, one SB.

Good golly.

Even modest projections for Figgins coming off a down 2010 had him stealing 35-40 bases and outpacing last year’s .259 average.

Now, if you look at ZiPS Updated projections, we’ve got a .243 average and 30 steals. Yikes.

So is he hitting a signed Babe Ruth ball over the fence when Denis Leary is your step-father bad?

Not quite yet.

Clearly, his dwindling walk rate is a concern, but I can’t imagine it stays mired below 5%. So he will get on base more via the base on balls and presumably run.

Further, he isn’t swinging and missing a ton: 10% K rate and 4.2% swinging strikes (totally comparable to other seasons in his career). He is actually making more contact this year than last year (albeit in a tiny sample and only by 0.1% more).

Figgins is just doing horrible on balls in play (.148). He has been around .300 before, but never below that mark. I do worry that he is hitting more fly balls for some reason (38.5% this year compared to 33.8% for his career). He owns a career 1.27 GB/FB rate, yet his line drive and ground ball percentages are down this year. Combine that with more fly balls and you have a 2011 GB/FB rate of 1.10.

I’m going to side more with the ZiPS (ROS) projection, a .255/.342 line with 30 SBs. I think there is a bit of upside going forward if he can correct his fly ball hitting ways. I also wouldn’t be shocked with a .265 average and 35 stolen bases.

Obviously, it’s a far cry from two years ago (and, to some extent, last season), but he isn’t killing you…yet.

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